BREAKING: ADP Surprises with lower than expected employment data. EURUSD gains

1:15 PM 4 September 2025

KEY DATA

Current: 54K (forecast: 68k, prior: 104k)

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Last month’s data was revised to 106,000. Theoretically, this could suggest that tomorrow’s NFP data might come in lower than expected, but it’s important to keep in mind that the two reports often diverge significantly, which is why the movements in the EUR/USD pair are not particularly large

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