12:08 PM · 24 September 2020

BREAKING: Lira surges as Turkey raises rates!

USD/TRY
Forex
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This wasn’t expected – the CRBT resisted a pressure to raise rates for a long time but a pressure on the lira and depleting reserves meant there was no choice. Turkey raised repo rate by 200 basis points (to 10.25%) to stun the markets.

As a result we see sharp reversal on USDTRY that was on its all-time high (again) today. Will this be enough to reverse the trend? After all Turkey is doomed to a painful recession amid global woes and now restrictive monetary policy. When Turkey was last fighting lira depreciation with rate hikes in 2018 it took more than once action to convince investors.

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