BREAKING: PCE in lane, GDP growth slows down! 🔥🚨

13.03.2026 - US PCE Inflation (January):

Core PCE MoM: 0,4% (Expected: 0,4%; Previous: 0,4%)
Core PCE YoY: 3,1% (Expected: 3,1%; Previous: 3,0%)
PCE MoM: 0,3% (Expected: 0,3%; Previous:0,4)
PCE YoY: 2,8% (Expected: 2,9%; Previous: 2,9%)

GDP Data (Q4):

GDP QoQ: 0,7% (Expected: 1,4%; Previous: 4,4%)
GDP Prices: 3,8% (Expected: 3,7%; Previous: 3,7%)

Durables Orders (January):

MoM: 0,0% (Expected: 1,1%; Previous: -0,9%)
Excluded Defence: 0,5%

Superficial, PCE reading in lane with expectations should ease the market tensions but in current conditions there is no reason to celebrate.

Core PCE keeps raising, now exceeding 3,1% and measuring 0,4% on monthly basis, all that for a month before Hormuz/Iran conflict.

"Regular" PCE does show some minor signs or slowing down but its the GDP and Orders that tell the whole picture.

GDP growth turned out to be half of what was expected, grinding down to 0,7%. Economic slowdown trend is supported by orders data, which turned out also below expectations.

Dollar slightly declines, driven down by slowdown of US economy.

EURUSD (M1)

Source: xStation5

16 October 2026, 7:11 AM

Economic Calendar - Final Eurozone CPI Inflation, US Manufacturing, and Regional Bank Earnings

16 October 2026, 6:48 AM

Morning Briefing: Warsh's silence on interest rates. AI debt fears cooled sentiment, but a rebound is visible

15 October 2026, 7:11 PM

Daily summary 📈 Precious metals and stock indices rebound as Treasury yields fall

15 October 2026, 6:01 PM

Oil gains as U.S. crude inventories fall

Forex Economic reports

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