BREAKING: PCE inflation in line with expectations

1:30 PM 29 August 2025

USA - Core PCE Inflation 2.9% y/y (Forecast: 2.9% y/y; Previous: 2.8% y/y)
USA - Monthly Core PCE Inflation 0.3% m/m (Forecast: 0.3% m/m; Previous: 0.3% m/m)
USA - PCE Inflation 2.6% y/y (Forecast: 2.6% y/y; Previous: 2.6% y/y)
USA - Monthly PCE Inflation 0.3% m/m (Forecast: 0.3% m/m; Previous: 0.3% m/m)
Personal Income 0.4%, Exp. 0.4%
Personal Spending 0.5%, Exp. 0.5%

The EURUSD pair is not reacting excessively to today's reading, as the data, which was in line with expectations, had already been priced in by the market and does not significantly affect the outlook for Fed interest rates.

The swap market continues to price in a 25bp rate cut in September at around 85% (similar to before the reading).

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Source: CME

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Market News

29.08.2025

14:21

US OPEN: Correction after the peak. The dollar is strengthening.

Yesterday, the main index of the American stock exchange closed at a new all-time high. Investors retained some of yesterday's optimism, with indices...

13:34

BREAKING: US PCE and consumer spending in line with expectations 🗽

US PCE Price Index YoY (July): 2.6% (Forecast 2.6%, Previous 2.6%); PCE MoM 0.2% (Forecast 0.2%, Previous 0.3%) Core PCE Price Index YoY Actual...

13:32

BREAING: Canada GDP growth bellow expectation!

14:30 - Change in Canada's GDP: Core GDP Y/Y: 0,9%, Expected: 1,3%, Previous: 1.2% Core GDP M/M: -0,1%, Expected: 0.1%,...

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