BREAKING: US CPI and jobless claims slightly higher than expected! US100 falls 📉

1:30 PM 12 October 2023

US CPI reading for September y/y: 3,7% vs 3,6% exp and 3,7% previously

  • US CPI reading for September m/m: 0,4% vs 0,3% exp and 0,7% previously

US Core CPI reading for September y/y: 4,1% vs 4,1% exp and 4,3% previously

  • US Core CPI reading for September m/m: 0,3% vs 0,3% exp and 0,3% previously

US Initial jobless claims: 209 k vs 210 k exp. and 207 previously

  • US contiuned jobless claims: 1702 mln vs 1676 mln exp and 1664 mln previously

Slightly higher than expected US CPI reading may be a signal to Fed that's still to early to end the rate hike cycle and the situation will be safer if interest rates will increase at least once more time (maybe the sooner, the better until strong economy is a mandate to do that). At the same time 'negatively' surprise is very little and inflation cooled off strongly in US economy, what's more  and important - the core reading is lower in line with expectations. US jobless claims number was slightly higher but the job market is still very tight (despite higher reading of continued jobless claims). USDIDX gains after the US inflation data and we can see sellers pressure on US100.

Source: xStation5

Source: XTB Research

Higher services (especially transportation and shelter data may be a litte negative surprise for the markets. Source: BLS

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