Bullard and Powell boost USD

5:09 PM 25 June 2019

Powell’s speech scheduled for 6:00 pm BST was the most awaited event of the day. However, before we move to what Powell said, let’s mentioned remarks of St. Louis Fed President, James Bullard. Bullard appeared on Bloomberg TV at 5:30 pm BST and his speech trigger a solid downward move on the EURUSD market. Did Bullard said something that market did not expect? Not really, but the key point is that HE said it. Bullard said that leaving rates unchanged in June increases probability of a rate cut in July and that.... a 50 basis point cut in July would be an overkill. Bullard is the most dovish Fed member at the moment and the only one that called for a rate cut during June’s meeting. Markets gave around 40% chance for a 50 bp rate cut in July prior to his speech but the fact that the Fed’s biggest dove doesn’t see it appropriate saw this probability drop to 25%.

Let’s move to Powell’s speech now. Fed President said that the outlook of the FOMC is still favourable and that he expects inflation to return to 2%. He also said that the Fed is weighing whether uncertainties require easing monetary policy. The message does not differ much from the latest FOMC statement and signals that the rate cut may not be a done deal. However, a point to note is that Powell addressed recent remarks by Trump on the US central bank. Powell said that “damage arises when policy bends to political interests” and that “central banks in major democracies enjoy independence”. Nevertheless, his speech did not saw such a sharp market reaction as the one from Bullard. EURUSD moved slightly lower and printed new daily low at 1.1351.

Start investing today or test a free demo

Open real account TRY DEMO Download mobile app Download mobile app

EURUSD printed new daily low at 1.1351 following Powell's speech. However, scale of the move was nowhere near the one triggered by Bullard's remarks. Source: xStation5

Share:
Back
Xtb logo

Join over 935 000 XTB Group Clients from around the world

The financial instruments we offer, especially CFDs, can be highly risky. Fractional Shares (FS) is an acquired from XTB fiduciary right to fractional parts of stocks and ETFs. FS are not a separate financial instrument. The limited corporate rights are associated with FS.
This page was not created for investors residing in Brazil. This brokerage is not authorized by the Comissão de Valores Mobiliários (CVM) or the Brazilian Central Bank (BCB). The content of this page should not be characterized as an investment offer in Brazil or for investors residing in that country.
Losses can exceed deposits

We use cookies

By clicking “Accept All”, you agree to the storing of cookies on your device to enhance site navigation, analyze site usage, and assist in our marketing efforts.

This group contains cookies that are necessary for our websites to work. They take part in functionalities like language preferences, traffic distribution or keeping user session. They cannot be disabled.

Cookie name
Description
SERVERID
userBranchSymbol cc 2 March 2024
test_cookie cc 25 January 2024
adobe_unique_id cc 1 March 2025
__hssc cc 8 September 2022
SESSID cc 2 March 2024
__cf_bm cc 8 September 2022
intercom-id-iojaybix cc 26 November 2024
intercom-session-iojaybix cc 8 March 2024

We use tools that let us analyze the usage of our page. Such data lets us improve the user experience of our web service.

Cookie name
Description
_gid cc 9 September 2022
_gat_UA-98728395-1 cc 8 September 2022
_gat_UA-121192761-1 cc 8 September 2022
_gcl_au cc 30 May 2024
_ga_CBPL72L2EC cc 1 March 2026
_ga cc 1 March 2026
__hstc cc 7 March 2023
__hssrc

This group of cookies is used to show you ads of topics that you are interested in. It also lets us monitor our marketing activities, it helps to measure the performance of our ads.

Cookie name
Description
MUID cc 26 March 2025
_omappvp cc 11 February 2035
_omappvs cc 1 March 2024
_uetsid cc 2 March 2024
_uetvid cc 26 March 2025
_fbp cc 30 May 2024
fr cc 7 December 2022
_ttp cc 26 March 2025
_tt_enable_cookie cc 26 March 2025
_ttp cc 26 March 2025
hubspotutk cc 7 March 2023

Cookies from this group store your preferences you gave while using the site, so that they will already be here when you visit the page after some time.

Cookie name
Description

This page uses cookies. Cookies are files stored in your browser and are used by most websites to help personalise your web experience. For more information see our Privacy Policy You can manage cookies by clicking "Settings". If you agree to our use of cookies, click "Accept all".

Change region and language
Country of residence
Language