Daily summary: US100 deepens declines, losing 2.5% 📉Wall Street tumbles despite 'favourable' CPI reading

7:06 PM 11 July 2024
  • European indexes had a successful session today. The DAX and CAC40 traded close to 0.7% up; the UK's FTSE, which gained 0.4%, fared slightly less well. Shares of Norway's DNB Bank rallied nearly 6% after the results. On the German stock market, disappointing EBITDA led to a correction on Suedzucker shares
  • The main market event today was the CPI inflation reading for June in the US, which turned out to be lower than expected. As a result, Wall Street indexes initially gained, but the final gains are held virtually exclusively by the Russell 2000 index, which gains nearly 3.5%
  • The Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 lose -2% (with the US100 futures down more than 2.5%) and -1%, respectively; the declines are fuelled by a weakening technology sector; especially US 'BigTech' and semiconductor companies. Nvidia is losing more than 5%, and Microsoft is retreating more than 4%. 
  • We are also seeing a nearly 4% correction in Costco shares. Investors are gearing up for earnings season, which will open 'in earnest' tomorrow with US banks (J.P. Morgan, Wells Fargo and Citigroup)
  • Tesla is losing almost 7% today after reports that the presentation of the highly anticipated "Robotaxi" has been postponed from August to October this year. Delta Air Lines shares are also losing nearly 7% after weak results. PepsiCo, meanwhile, erases initial declines and returns to growth after its Q2 report for the year

US CPI for June came in 3% YoY vs 3.1% exp. and 3.3% previously (-0.1% MoM vs 0.1% exp. and 0% previously)

US Core CPI for June came in 3.3% YoY vs 3.4% exp. and 3.4% previously (0.1% MoM vs 0.2% exp. and 0.2% previously)

  • US June CPI food inflation came in 0.2%, also housing inflation was 0.2% higher, while rent was up 0.3% MoM 

US jobless claims came in 222k vs 235k exp. and 238k previously (1.852M continued jobless claims vs 1,86M exp. and 1.858M previously)

  • Market expectations of an interest rate cut by the Fed have risen in response to the inflation data. Futures are pricing in a 90% probability of an interest rate cut at the September meeting. 
  • The inflation data today pushed 10-year U.S. bond yields to 4.19%, the lowest since March of this year. 
  • The rise in expectations of a US interest rate cut made the dollar the weakest G10 currency today, losing 0.5% in today's session. 
  • A potential intervention on the yen has made the Japanese currency gain 1.8% today. 
  • Chinese index contracts gain more than 2%; the Hang Seng was briefly supported by news of further regulations on short selling of stocks, listed on the Chinese stock exchange
  • A falling dollar and greater uncertainty about the state of the U.S. economy helped precious metals rise. Gold gains 1.8% today, and silver almost 2%; the VIX volatility index gains more than 2%
  • In the energy commodities market, gas lost the most heavily today, posting a 2.5% decline. Today's EIA report on the change in U.S. inventories showed an increase in stocks to 65 bcf versus 56 bcf expected. 
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