- European indices are gaining between 0.5% and 0.9% ahead of the market open on the Old Continent
- U.S. index futures are up around 1%, while the VIX is retreating by nearly 4%
- Today’s session features only secondary macroeconomic data, including Canada’s Ivey PMI and U.S. API crude oil inventory changes
Market sentiment is slightly more positive today, although the macro calendar is very light and unlikely to drive major moves across financial markets. Investors remain hopeful that the 50% tariffs on China, announced by President Trump, will not come into effect before April 9, and that the two countries will eventually reach an agreement. However, recent comments from China offer little optimism for such an outcome. Today, China’s Ministry of Commerce stated that it would never accept "blackmailing". In such a scenario, market fears could quickly return if no signs of progress emerge in Washington-Beijing negotiations.
Macro Data Schedule:
-
10:00 AM GMT: France, Trade Balance: -5.65 billion euros vs. -6.54 billion euros expected
-
03:00 PM GMT: Canada, Ivey PMI: 53.2 vs. 55.3 expected
-
09:40 PM GMT: United States, API Crude Oil Inventories: previous reading +6.03 million barrels
Central Bank Speeches:
-
10:30 AM GMT: Luis de Guindos (European Central Bank)
-
7 PM GMT: Mary Daly (Federal Reserve)
BREAKING: EURUSD spikes on lower-than-expected Core CPI in the US❗️
US CPI preview: will the disinflation trend be maintained in December? 🔎
USDJPY: speculation over dissolution of the lower house drives sharp JPY weakness ✂️
Economic calendar: US CPI inflation 📌