MACRO: US companies added most jobs since June

4:58 PM 6 October 2021

US private sector added more jobs than expected in September. According to the latest ADP National Employment Report, private payrolls increased by 568k jobs last month, compared with a downwardly revised 340k in August, while analysts expected a reading of 428k. Most jobs were created in leisure and hospitality sectors which were hardest hit by the pandemic and subsequent government restrictions. The sector added 226k new jobs last month, more than the 201k jobs the sector added in the month prior. However, goods-producing sector added 102k jobs as the industry is still suffering through labor shortages.

ADP recorded the biggest increase since June as pandemic emergency benefits are removed from Americans. Still some sectors struggle with labour shortages. Source: Bloomberg via ZeroHedge

The ADP report comes ahead of the Labour Department's official jobs report, which will be released by the end of the week. Investors expect a headline total that represents around 450k new jobs, a rebound from the disappointing tally of 235k in the month of August. 

If the job gains in the ADP data does translate to Friday’s NFP report , then this may fuel concerns of a sooner-than-expected easing of monetary stimulus in the face of growing worries regarding higher inflation. While the ADP report has a poor track record of predicting non-farm payrolls, the acceleration could point to a strong September report.

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