1:45 PM · 13 January 2022

NATGAS corrects after Wednesday's rally

US natural gas prices are pulling back today following a massive jump yesterday. NATGAS is trading almost 3% lower today, following price gain of over 13% on Wednesday. Massive jump yesterday was triggered by dropping temperatures in the United States and new forecasts that suggest colder weather ahead. Freezing weather is expected to arrive in the United States this Friday, leading to expectations of increased demand. Given tight natural gas supplies around the world, prices are vulnerable to swings in temperature. The move yesterday is also reasoned with forced liquidation of short positions as quick upward moves caught many traders off guard. However, as the fundamental situation did not change overnight, today's drop can be seen as a reaction to yesterday's price action with traders reloading their portfolios with bearish bets against NATGAS.

Taking a look at NATGAS chart at D1 interval, we can see that commodities launched yesterday's trading with a bullish price gap and continued to rally later on. However, advance was halted at the $4.80 resistance, marked with previous price reactions. From a technical point of view, a break above this area would open the way towards the $5.50 area. On the other hand, should the ongoing correction deepen, the price may pull back and retest the $4.20 area, that should be considered a key support for now.

Source: xStation5

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