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12:31 · 26 September 2025

BREAKING: PCE in line with expectations, EURUSD ticks up 📌

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01:30 PM BST, United States - Inflation Data for August:

  • PCE price index: actual 0.3% MoM; forecast 0.3% MoM; previous 0.2% MoM;
  • PCE Price index: actual 2.7% YoY; forecast 2.7% YoY; previous 2.6% YoY;
  • Core PCE Price Index: actual 0.2% MoM; forecast 0.2% MoM; previous 0.2% MoM;
  • Core PCE Price Index: actual 2.9% YoY; forecast 2.9% YoY; previous 2.9% YoY;
  • Personal Income: actual 0.4% MoM; forecast 0.3% MoM; previous 0.4% MoM;

U.S. households saw steady income gains in August—personal and disposable income both up 0.4%—driven mainly by higher compensation and transfer receipts, while spending accelerated faster (+0.6%), split between services (+$77.2B) and goods (+$52.0B). With outlays rising more than income, the saving rate edged down to 4.6% ($1.06T), implying consumers tapped savings to fund purchases.

Price pressures were moderate: headline PCE +0.3% m/m (+2.7% y/y) and core PCE +0.2% m/m (+2.9% y/y).

 

 

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