Chart of the day - USDIDX (08.02.2023)

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The dollar index fell below 103 on Wednesday, extending yesterday's losses sparked by Powell’s latest comments. Head of the Fed said that more rate hikes will likely be needed and that the terminal rate could peak higher if the jobs market remains strong, however underlined that disinflation has begun. Traders now look ahead to more Fed commentary on Wednesday for further guidance.

From a technical point of view, USDIDX bounced off key resistance at 103.40, which is marked with upper limit of the local 1:1 structure, previous price reactions,50 SMA (green line) and upper limit of the descending channel. As long as price sits below the aforementioned level, the main sentiment remains bearish. Nearest major support to watch is located around recent lows at 100.60. On the other hand, if buyers manage to regain control, upward correction may be launched towards resistance at 105.30, which coincides with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the upward move launched in January 2021.

USDIDX, D1 interval. Source: xStation5

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