Daily Summary: Middle East tensions keep risk assets lower

6:49 PM 20 October 2023
  • Risk-off moods could be spotted on the global markets on Friday as investors seems to be reducing bets on riskier assets amid concern that conflict in the Middle East may escalate over the weekend
  • Part of those moves was retraced after Bloomberg reported that United States and European countries are pressing Israel to delay ground invasion of Gaza Strip in a bid to win hostage release
  • Wall Street indices are trading lower but off the daily lows. S&P 500 drops 0.5%, Dow Jones trades 0.4% lower and Nasdaq declines 0.6%
  • European stock market indices finished today's trading with big drops. German DAX was down 1.6%, UK FTSE 100 dropped 1.3% while French CAC40 and Italian FTSE MIB pulled back 1.4%
  • Fed Bostic said that it is possible that Fed would cut rates in late-2024. Bostic does not expect US recession
  • Fed Mester said that her outlook aligns with Fed forecast and she expects one more rate hike
  • Fed Harker said that now is time to hold rates steady. He also said that inflation is easing faster than expected but also that the economy is softening faster than expected
  • 30-year US Treasury yields climbed above 5.10% today and reached the highest level since 2007
  • People's Bank of China left 1- and 5-year lending rates unchanged at 3.45% and 4.20%, respectively
  • Canadian retail sales dropped 0.1% MoM in August (exp. -0.3% MoM) while retail sales excluding autos were 0.1% MoM higher (exp. -0.1% MoM)
  • UK retail sales dropped 0.9% MoM in September (exp. -.02% MoM)
  • Japanese CPI inflation slowed from 3.2% to 3.0% YoY in September while core CPI slowed from 3.1% to 2.8% YoY (exp. 2.7% YoY)
  • Cryptocurrencies gained today with Bitcoin testing $30,000 area for the first time since the first half of August
  • Energy commodities trade lower on the day with Brent and WTI dropping 0.6% and US natural gas prices being 1.8% down
  • Gold has almost touched the $2,000 per ounce level today but bulls run out of steam and daily gain was trimmed to 0.5%
  • GBP and CAD are the best performing major currencies while NZD and CHF lag the most

US100 is testing the support zone at 23.6% retracement that has halted downward moves a few times recently. An attempt to break lower today has not succeeded so far. Source: xStation5

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