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2:57 PM · 28 August 2019

Oil extends gains after massive inventory drawdown

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Summary:

  • DOE Inventories: -10.0M vs -2.9M exp. API: -11.1M

  • Drops also seen in subcomponents

  • Oil builds on earlier gains above $60 a barrel

 

The weekly crude oil inventories showed a large double-digit drawdown, supporting the large drop seen in last night’s API and sending the price of Oil up to its highest level of the week. Its now 2 consecutive drawdowns for this data point after last weeks decline of 2.7M. The print of -10.0M was well below the -2.9M consensus forecast and not far from the private reading of -11.1M seen in the API. Other noteworthy aspects of the report are as follows:

 
  • Gasoline: -2.1M vs -0.4M exp

  • Distillates: -2.1M vs +1.4M exp

  • Production: 12.5 Mpd - up by 0.2M 

Oil spiked higher after the release although there’s been a lack of follow through seen since. This could be explained by the fact that while the drawdown is no doubt large, it is actually a little smaller than last night’s API. Source: xStation 

Longer term, the trend could be turning higher for Oil with price edging back above the 21 EMA. It’s over a month since the market ended the day above the 21 EMA and while the 8 remains below it, it has gained and turned higher in recent trade. Source: xStation 

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