Gold prices experienced some interesting price moves yesterday. The moves were interesting as they stood in contrast to what incoming data implied in terms on next Fed moves. A very disappointing Chicago PMI reading that should be seen as dovish from Fed's point of view, led to an increase in gold prices as would be expected but release of a higher-than-expected JOLTS data that triggered a jump in Fed rate hike pricing failed to reverse those moves. Gold held firm following hawkish JOLTS data. Gains on the gold market started to be erased later on after… dovish comments from Fed Harker and Jefferson, that led to a drop in Fed rate hike pricing. Harker and Jefferson suggested that Fed may skip a rate hike at June meeting to better assess incoming data.
Taking a look at GOLD chart at H1 interval, we can see that price of the precious metal attempted to break above the $1,973 resistance zone and started to pull back later on. GOLD dropped below 50- and 200-hour moving average this morning and an attempt to break below $1,955 support can be observed at press time. While Fed members hinted that US central bank may keep rates unchanged at the June meeting, there is still a lot of data to be released until the meeting. Traders will be offered US jobs market data this week (ADP - today at 1:15 pm BST, NFP - Friday at 1:30 pm BST) and should it come in strong, Fed rate hike odds may jump again and potentially exert pressure on gold prices. US CPI inflation data for May will be released on June 13, 2023 - one day ahead of FOMC June decision.
Source: xStation5
