BREAKING: Eurozone CPI data slightly above estimates

10:02 AM 2 September 2025

Eurozone – Inflation data (flash) for August:

  • CPI: Actual: 0.2% m/m; previous 0.0% m/m

  • CPI: Actual: 2.1% y/y; forecast 2.1% y/y; previous 2.0% y/y

  • Core CPI: Actual: 2.3% y/y; forecast 2.2% y/y; previous 2.3% y/y

Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, food, alcohol & tobacco is expected to have the highest annual rate in August (3.2%, compared with 3.3% in July), followed by services (3.1%, compared with 3.2% in July), non-energy industrial goods (0.8%, stable compared with July) and energy (-1.9%, compared with -2.4% in July).

 

 

Source:Eurostat

Overall, these figures show that the ECB is currently in a very good position with regard to interest rates/monetary policy. The data had a limited impact on the euro, although the surprise of slightly higher figures stabilized the EURUSD exchange rate at around 1.6370.

 

 

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