BREAKING: EURUSD gains after lower US CPI data 📣

01:30 PM BST, United States - Inflation Data for May:

CPI: actual 0.0% MoM; forecast 0.1% MoM; previous 0.3% MoM;
CPI, n.s.a: actual 0.17% MoM; previous 0.39% MoM;
CPI: actual 3.3% YoY; forecast 3.4% YoY; previous 3.4% YoY;
Core CPI: actual 3.4% YoY; forecast 3.5% YoY; previous 3.6% YoY;
Core CPI: actual 0.2% MoM; forecast 0.3% MoM; previous 0.3% MoM;

US short-term interest-rate futures jump after inflation data; traders price in a bigger chance of Fed rate cuts

The market closely watched core services excluding housing and auto insurance to differentiate between forward-looking indicators and remnants of past inflation. The market is now fully expecting two FOMC rate cuts this year, with an 80% probability of a cut in September.

On a year-on-year basis, inflation remains high and here the largest negative contribution continues to be used cars. However, investors' attention has focused on the m/m figures, which remained unchanged from April. The only noticeable contribution is shelter prices, which are significantly lagging the rest of the sector. Today's Fed decision could be interesting, in particular Jerome Powell's speech after the decision announcement.

2 October 2026, 6:40 PM

Daily Summary: US100 Hits New Highs on Weak NFP 🚨

2 October 2026, 1:32 PM

BREAKING: US NFP data surprises to the downside; USD dips🔥

2 October 2026, 12:35 PM

🟡Gold takes a breath, because of oil, not NFP

2 October 2026, 11:43 AM

Market Wrap: Tech stocks stabilize sentiment in Europe 📈 Adidas and Puma resilient despite Nike’s sell-off?

Indices Economic reports

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