1:31 PM ยท 13 May 2025

BREAKING: US CPI lower than expected, EURUSD gains ๐Ÿ“Œ

  • Traders continue to bet on 1st Fed rate cut in September, 2nd Fed cut in October.
  • Traders keep wagers on two Fed rate cuts by the end-2025.

01:30 PM BST, United States - Inflation Data for April:

  • CPI: actual 0.2% MoM; forecast 0.3% MoM; previous -0.1% MoM;
  • CPI: actual 2.3% YoY; forecast 2.4% YoY; previous 2.4% YoY;
  • Core CPI: actual 0.2% MoM; forecast 0.3% MoM; previous 0.1% MoM;
  • Core CPI: actual 2.8% YoY; forecast 2.8% YoY; previous 2.8% YoY;

 

 

 

Although the initial reaction after the release was erased on EURUSD, the pair is bouncing again. Lower-than-expected data—and more importantly, no increase in annual inflation dynamics compared to the previous month—give hope for less tariff-induced price pressure than initially feared. For the Fed, this is positive data, but a one-off report certainly doesn’t determine anything in the opinion of FOMC members.

3 September 2026, 7:28 AM

Economic Calendar: U.S. ISM Services Index in the Spotlight

2 September 2026, 6:52 PM

Daily summary: Muted rebound on Wall Street ๐Ÿ—ฝ Metals attempt to recover as the U.S. dollar weakens

2 September 2026, 3:48 PM

EIA data points to a decline in U.S. crude oil inventories; OPEC+ decision in focus

2 September 2026, 3:33 PM

๐Ÿ“ˆ Gold rebounds 1.5%

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