The key event of the day is the start of Jerome Powellโs two-day testimony before Congress. Powell will defend the Fedโs decision to keep interest rates unchanged at least until September, despite pressure from President Trump and some Republican lawmakers pushing for cuts.
He is expected to address the state of the U.S. economy, inflation trends, and respond to Democratic concerns over maintaining the Fedโs independence. While inflation remains low and the economy stable, Powell and most policymakers prefer to wait for more data before changing policyโespecially amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. Meanwhile, two FOMC members have already suggested they may support a rate cut as early as July if conditions deteriorate.
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09:00 AM BST,ย Germanyย -ย German Business Expectationsย for June:
- forecast 90.0; previous 88.9;
09:00 AM BST,ย Germanyย -ย German Current Assessmentย for June:
- forecast 86.5; previous 86.1;
09:00 AM BST,ย Germanyย -ย German Ifo Business Climate Indexย for June:
- forecast 88.1; previous 87.5;
09:00 AM BST,ย United Kingdomย -ย BoE Gov Bailey Speaks
10:00 AM BST,ย Germanyย -ย German Buba Mauderer Speaks
12:15 PM BST,ย Euro Zoneย -ย ECB's De Guindos Speaks
01:30 PM BST,ย Canadaย -ย Inflation Dataย for May:
- Core CPI: previous 0.5% MoM;
- Core CPI: previous 2.5% YoY;
- CPI: forecast 0.5% MoM; previous -0.1% MoM;
- CPI: forecast 1.7% YoY; previous 1.7% YoY;
- Median CPI: forecast 3.0% YoY; previous 3.2% YoY;
- Trimmed CPI: forecast 3.0% YoY; previous 3.1% YoY;
- Common CPI: forecast 2.4% YoY; previous 2.5% YoY;
02:35 PM BST,ย United Kingdomย -ย MPC Member Ramsden Speaks
02:55 PM BST,ย Euro Zoneย -ย ECB's Lane Speaks
03:00 PM BST,ย United Kingdomย -ย BoE Gov Bailey Speaks
03:00 PM BST,ย United Statesย -ย Richmond Manufacturing Indexย for June:
- Richmond Manufacturing Index:ย forecast -10; previous -9;
03:00 PM BST,ย United Statesย -ย Fed Chair Powell Testifies
03:00 PM BST,ย United Statesย -ย CB Consumer Confidenceย for June:
- forecast 99.4; previous 98.0;
04:40 PM BST,ย United Kingdomย -ย BoE MPC Member Pill Speaks
05:30 PM BST,ย United Statesย -ย FOMC Member Williams Speaks
09:00 PM BST,ย United Statesย -ย Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speaks