EUR/USD Volatility Expected Amid U.S. Economic Updates

This week, the EUR/USD pair will be in the spotlight as important data about the American economy is released. Investors will be closely monitoring the U.S. inflation results, measured by the CPI and PPI, as well as retail sales. These events will increase the market volatility.

On the one-hour chart, we can see that buyers have managed to break through important technical structures that have supported the recent recovery of the euro against the dollar. Currently, the price is trading near the lower boundary of the consolidation zone, and a break above this zone could lead to further momentum.

EUR/USD 1 hour time frame chart. Source: xStation 5

Additionally, if we observe the behavior of the U.S. dollar with bonds, we note a resurgence of divergence between the two markets, which could be a sign that the USD has room to decline further.

Dollar Index, Daily time frame chart. Source: xStation 5

Forex Heatmap. Source: xStation 5

Henrique Tomé,
Analyst Portugal

31 July 2026, 6:50 PM

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