Moderate comments from Fed bankers 📣

6:23 PM 7 February 2024

Fed Gov. Adriana Kugler:

  • Emphasizes that the Fed's job on inflation is not yet complete, with a continued focus on the 2% inflation target.
  • Notes a potential increase in goods prices due to global shipping risks and other factors.
  • Highlights the soundness of the banking sector but is monitoring regional bank exposure to commercial real estate (CRE).
  • Acknowledges progress in inflation control, aided by Fed policy and supply side healing.
  • Observes moderating wage growth, which is impacting prices.
  • Expresses optimism about services inflation, expecting improvements in core-services excluding housing.

Boston Fed’s Collins:

  • Points out the risk of inflation progress stalling.
  • Suggests that the Fed might begin easing before reaching 2% inflation and possibly before the end of the year.
  • Cautions that recent strong jobs data and economic resilience indicate a need for moderation to achieve 2% inflation.

Richmond Fed Pres Barkin:

  • Advocates for patience on rate cuts due to the uncertainty of forecasts.
  • Comments on the recent decrease in inflation but expresses concerns about the potential rebound of goods prices.

The speeches collectively reflect a cautious but optimistic outlook on inflation and interest rate policy. While there is recognition of the progress made in controlling inflation, there is also an understanding that the job is not yet done, with a continued focus on the 2% inflation target. There are concerns about potential pressures on goods prices and the need for ongoing monitoring of the banking sector. The sentiment is balanced between maintaining current restrictive policies to ensure continued progress on inflation and acknowledging that easing may be on the horizon as economic conditions evolve.

EURUSD trades without any noticeable reaction to the bankers' comments. The Dollar remains weak today, although it has managed to recover some of the losses from earlier in the day.


Source: xStation 5

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