Russia - Ukraine update

It is hard to say that the situation has changed significantly in recent days. In fact, the tension around a potential conflict is fueled by small events. Of course, it is worth remembering that at the beginning of the week the markets were hoping for a de-escalation, however according to reports from the US, an attack should be expected in the coming days​​​​​​​

• According to the United States, Russia is capable of hitting Ukraine at any time
• Russian Separatist in Donetsk in East Ukraine say they plan to evacuate around 700K people to Russia due to potential invasion of Ukrainian forces
• The dollar has moved higher after news of the large explosion in Dontsk which turned out to be a car bomb. Car belonged to Donbass security chief, experts wonder whether this was an assasination attempt or false flag operation
• Ukraine points out that it does not interfere with the situation in the separatist republics
• Russia had previously indicated that Ukraine was going to take advantage of the chaos and recapture the lands occupied by the rebels
• A summit meeting between the representatives of the US and Russia is to be held next week, which may indicate that, at least until then, military actions are unlikely
• According to Ukraine, Russia did not agree to the participation of three parties in the meeting