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DE30: DAX gains 0,5%, breaking 16,000 pt resistance zone 📈

下午10:23 2023年11月22日
  • European stock markets in mixed sentiments, but DAX gains 0.5% 
  • Thysenkrupp (TKA.DE) leads gains on the German stock market and gains more than 7%
  • Bayer AG (BAYN.DE) loses more than 2% and is at new historic lows. Analysts assess turmoil on product and regulatory process side
  • Fresenius Medica (FME.DE) raises guidance and exits U.S. lawsuits 

Tuesday's session on the European markets is proceeding in a mixed mood. The market is focused on the oil market, where we see intense declines in the price of 'black gold' today, which according to some analysts may signal potentially impending concerns around demand (recession). On the other hand, however, lower oil prices seem favorable for inflation dynamics, and investors also in the European session are waiting for the opening of the U.S. session where Nvidia (NVDA.US) is reporting mixed results before the market opens despite much higher-than-expected Q3 earnings for the year. The DAX managed to climb above the psychological barrier of 16,000 points, which may now constitute a rather strong 'camp' for the bulls.

At the moment, sentiment on individual European companies is mostly positive, but strong declines are being recorded by oil and gas companies, which are under pressure from falling oil prices. Weak sentiment is also observed in the pharmaceutical sector, where Novo Nordisk gains but Merck's and Bayer are losing. Source: xStation 5

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DE30 chart (D1)


Futures based on the German DE30 are trading nearly 0.5% higher on a daily basis and have managed to climb above the key resistance barrier set by the psychological level of 16,000 points. A sustained breakout above these structures could open the way for further rallies toward the local session peaks of late August and early September 2023. On the other hand, the key resistance zone for possible observation is the level of 15-500 and 15,700 points where we see the SMA200 (red line) and the 38.2 Fibonacci retracement of the upward wave from the autumn of 2022. Also, noteworthy is the 'death cross; on the daily interval (the crossover of the SMA200 from above by the SMA100), but so far the bearish pattern 'doesn't work'. Source: xStation5

Changes in % of companies in the DAX index. Symrise and Nonovia are up, Bayer and Commerzbank are losing more sharply among the DAX index. Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.

Analyst recommendations:

  • * Rheinmetall (RHM.DE): JP Morgan raised its target price for the German armaments company's shares from €340 to €370 per share.
  • * Hugo Boss (HUGO.DE): Deutsche Bank raised its target price, for the company's shares, from neutral to buy. Target price set at EUR 79
  • * KION (KGX.DE) downgraded to a lower rating by Berenberg analysts.

Thysenkrupp (TKA.DE) gains 7% despite billions in metal industry losses

Falling steel prices and rising raw material and energy costs had a negative impact on EBIT, which fell from €2.1 billion to €703 million (in line with expectations) Sales fell nine percent year-on-year to €37.5 billion, also in line with expectations.
Results were weak as expected, but Thyssenkrupp nonetheless estimates a return to net profits in the new fiscal year. The company expects net results in the low to mid triple-digit million-euro range, although management believes the macro environment will be challenging. Sales growth is expected to be modest, and the company expects EBIT to be in the high triple-digit million-euro range.

  • Industrial company Thysenkrupp reported a deep loss for the past fiscal year. The result, at the end of September 2023, showed a net loss of nearly €2 billion. The company also adjusted the value of the fixed assets of its Steel Europe subsidiary to €2.1 billion. The write-downs became necessary due to the slowing economy and higher costs.
  • Originally, the company had estimated net profit for the year to be at least breakeven (after a profit of €1.2 billion for the 2021-2022 financial year) but this proved impossible. Despite this, shareholders will receive a dividend of €0.15 per share. Thysenkrupp said it was in talks about a joint venture with Steel Europe, the company of Czech billionaire Kretinsky of EPH.

Thysenkrupp shares are breaking out above the SMA200 (red line) and the 23.6 abolition of the upward wave from the fall of 2022. The dynamics of the MACD averages indicate a possible further room for growth. Source: xStation5

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