差价合约 (""CFDs"") 是复杂工具,并且由于杠杆作用而资本迅速亏损的风险很高。在与该提供商交易差价合约时,76%的零售投资者账户会亏钱。您应该考虑是否了解差价合约是如何运作的,以及您是否有能力承担损失金钱的高风险。

差价合约 (""CFDs"") 是复杂工具,并且由于杠杆作用而资本迅速亏损的风险很高。在与该提供商交易差价合约时,76%的零售投资者账户会亏钱。您应该考虑是否了解差价合约是如何运作的,以及您是否有能力承担损失金钱的高风险。

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UK wage growth hits 11-year high; Polls show support for Boris

下午5:15 2019年8月13日

Summary:

  • UK average earnings rise 3.7% - most since 2008

  • Latest polls show support for the PM's Brexit strategy

  • Pound remains near recent lows  

 

While a tick up in the unemployment rate for the past quarter may lead to some negative headlines, the latest look at the UK labour market continues to show a surprisingly healthy level of strength. The employment rate of 76.1% is the joint-highest on record since records began in 1971 but the best news came on the earnings front. Workers continue to see their real wages rise with the latest figures showing average earnings outstripping inflation, as measured by CPI, for the 10th month in a row. The average earnings for the past quarter in annualised terms came in as expected at 3.7%, up from 3.5% prior which itself had been revised up from 3.4%. Stripping out bonuses the figures were even better with a 3.9% rise, topping forecasts for a 3.8% increase.  

UK wages extended their good run according to the latest release with the pace of growth at its highest level in over a decade. Source: XTB Macrobond

After ending last week with its lowest closing price since 1985 the GBPUSD remains not far from its recent lows and given that employment figures lag, the markets will remain far more interested in the latest developments on the Brexit front. Source: xStation   

 

Speaking of Brexit, there have been a couple public polls published in the past 24 hours that are attracting attention. The most surprising is a ComRes/Telegraph survey that suggests a majority support proroguing parliament to deliver Brexit. This looks like the current strategy of new PM Boris Johnson and not only has it got more than 50% support according to this poll, a whopping 89% of respondents also believe that MPs ignore voters on Brexit.  

The latest poll suggests that there is a majority for proroguing Parliament to deliver Brexit, a finding that may serve to further embolden PM Johnson’s attempts to pursue this strategy. Source: Twitter

 

Another survey from Election Maps UK prediction a General Election now would see the following results: 

 
  • Conservatives: 324 (+7), 31.1% (-12.4)

  • Labour: 214 (-48), 25.4% (-15.6)

  • SNP: 50 (+15), 3.2% (+0.1)

  • Lib Dems: 39 (+27), 17.6% (+10.0)

 

This would give the Conservatives a majority of 5 and while this represents a wafer thin margin still will still come as a pleasant surprise for the party and Boris Johnson.  

 

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