BREAKING: EURUSD steady after key data releases

Initial jobless claims in the US ticked up to 207k in the final full week of December from 200k before which remain a great result indeed and if anything only proves that the unemployment situation has improved a lot. Continuing claims rose from 1718k to 1754k, much above expectations of 1688k so this is a stain on the report although continuing claims data is quite volatile and often sees significant revisions.

Claims to population ratio of 0.06% has never been lower! Source: Macrobond, XTB Research

November trade balance is one of few reports that isn’t backing the greenback really. The deficit ballooned to above $80 billion from $67 billion in October.

Earlier we had flash inflation data from Germany that painted a mixed picture. CPI (domestic basket) increased from 5.2 to 5.3% y/y while HICP (EU basket) declined from 6 to 5.7%. In both cases the print was above expectations (of 5.1 and 5.6% respectively) which underlines that price pressures remain significant.

EURUSD is steady today having recovered from a dip below 1.13 but while the pair has managed to stay within the range it still looks like a flag pattern. This pattern usually leads to trend continuation.

12 December 2025, 6:23 PM

Three Markets to Watch Next Week (12.12.2025)

12 December 2025, 7:05 AM

BREAKING: UK GDP and manufacturing lower than expected 📉Final German CPI in line with expectations

12 December 2025, 6:54 AM

Morning wrap (12.12.2025)

11 December 2025, 6:46 PM

Daily summary: SILVER at a new ATH, EURUSD at its highest since October

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BREAKING: EURUSD steady after key data releases

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