BREAKING: US NFP higher than expected but unemployment rise📊US500 gains

US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) for June: 206k Expected: 190k vs. 272k previously

Change in private employment.136k Expected: 160k vs. 222k previously
Change in employment in the manufacturing sector. -8k Expected: 5k vs. 8k previously
Unemployment rate. 4.1% Expected: 4% vs. 4% previously
Average earnings.3.9% Expected: 3.9% y/y growth vs. 4.1% previously (0.3% m/m growth vs. 0.4% previously)

US short-term interest-rate futures reverse earlier losses and now are mostly up vs before the NFP report. US dollar declines as data showed higher unemployment rate, lower change in private employment and unexpected drop in manufacturing employment change. The US dollar declines slightly and Wall Street sees the today report as quite dovish, despite slightly higher than expected Non-Farm Payrolls change. As for now, US rate-futures traders price in slightly higher chance for September Fed rate cut.

US500

In the first reaction after NFP data, futures on S&P 500 (US500) dropped slightly, but buyers reversed the sell-off very fast and now Wall Street futures are on slightly higher levels, than before the key US labour market data.

Source: xStation5

Source: BLS, XTB Research, Macrobond

Source: XTB Research, BLS, Macrobond

6 February 2026, 7:36 AM

Economic calendar: Canadian labor market and Michigan Index (06.02.2026)

5 February 2026, 1:46 PM

🔵 ECB Press Conference (LIVE)

5 February 2026, 1:18 PM

BREAKING: ECB maintains rates in line with expectations!💶

5 February 2026, 12:02 PM

BREAKING: Bank of England holds rates as expected 📌 GBPUSD ticks down on dovish vote split 📉

Economic reports

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