BREAKING: US NFP report much weaker than expected; unemployment rises. US500 declines 📉

US Non-Farm Payrolls in July came in 114k vs 175k exp. and 206k previously (the weakest since 2021)

US Unemployment rise to 4.3% vs 4.1% exp. and 4.1% previously
US average earnings YoY came in 3.6% vs 3.7% exp. and 3.9% previously (and 0.2% MoM vs 0.3% exp.)
Private payrolls: 97k vs 140k exp. and 136k previously
Manufacturing payrolls: 1k vs -5k exp. and -8k previously

After NFP US interest rates futures price in 50 bps Fed interest rate cuts in September with 60% probability vs 30% probability of 50 bps rate cut before the report. US500 deepens declines after weaker than expected and dovish crucial, US job market data, which may signal that Fed is now 'late' with monetary policy easing. Markets see now as much as 111 bps US rate cuts in 2024.

Source: xStation5

Source: BLS, Macrobond, XTB Research

2 November 2026, 6:40 AM

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2 November 2026, 6:21 AM

📊Morning Wrap: Oil falls after Qatar talks. China injects liquidity, while the US prepares for elections.

30 October 2026, 3:33 PM

Gold prices drop sharply at the end of October. The collapse of the safe-haven myth or a search for liquidity?

29 October 2026, 1:19 PM

ECB Holds Rates Unchanged💶 EURUSD down 📉

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