BREAKING: US NFP report much weaker than expected; unemployment rises. US500 declines 📉

US Non-Farm Payrolls in July came in 114k vs 175k exp. and 206k previously (the weakest since 2021)

US Unemployment rise to 4.3% vs 4.1% exp. and 4.1% previously
US average earnings YoY came in 3.6% vs 3.7% exp. and 3.9% previously (and 0.2% MoM vs 0.3% exp.)
Private payrolls: 97k vs 140k exp. and 136k previously
Manufacturing payrolls: 1k vs -5k exp. and -8k previously

After NFP US interest rates futures price in 50 bps Fed interest rate cuts in September with 60% probability vs 30% probability of 50 bps rate cut before the report. US500 deepens declines after weaker than expected and dovish crucial, US job market data, which may signal that Fed is now 'late' with monetary policy easing. Markets see now as much as 111 bps US rate cuts in 2024.

Source: xStation5

Source: BLS, Macrobond, XTB Research

15 October 2025, 3:11 PM

Fed's Miran signals two more rate cuts this year and disinflationary process🗽

15 October 2025, 1:32 PM

BREAKING: NY Empire better than expected; EURUSD muted 📌

15 October 2025, 12:23 PM

Precious metals at record highs: Gold and Silver shine as the Fed ends its Tightening Cycle

15 October 2025, 10:45 AM

Fed Collins remarks on monetary policy and US economy🏛️EURUSD gains 0.2%

economic reports

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BREAKING: US NFP report much weaker than expected; unemployment rises. US500 declines 📉

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