BREAKING: USD gains after hawkish US jobs data

NFP report for May was a key macro release of the day. US jobs market data was released at 1:30 pm BST and was expected to show a slightly higher increase in employment than April's report. Annual wage growth was expected to remain unchanged at 3.9% YoY, but monthly wage growth was seen slowing from 0.5% MoM in April to 0.3% MoM in May.

Actual data turned out to be a hawkish surprise - employment growth turned out to be stronger-than-expected and wage growth unexpectedly accelerated. Such a reading makes it less likely for Fed to sent a dovish message on the next week's meeting. Markets reaction was hawkish as well - USD gained while US index futures dropped.

Money markets now pricing in around-55% chance of Fed cutting rates in September, down from aorund 70% before NFP report release.

US, NFP report for May

Non-farm payrolls: 272k vs 185k expected (175k previously)
Private payrolls: 229k vs 170k expected (167k previously)
Unemployment rate: 4.0% vs 3.9% expected (3.9% previously)
Participation rate: 62.5% vs 62.7% expected (62.7% previously)
Wage growth (annual): 4.1% YoY vs 3.9% YoY expected (3.9% YoY previously)
Wage growth (monthly): 0.4% MoM vs 0.3% MoM expected (0.5% MoM previously)

Source: xStation5

17 April 2026, 8:11 AM

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16 April 2026, 7:11 PM

Daily summary: Rising oil pressures EURUSD, bull run on Wall Street continues

16 April 2026, 6:32 PM

BREAKING: Oil rebounds to $100 as Gulf & European officials see US requiring 6 months for Iran deal

16 April 2026, 7:52 AM

Economic Calendar - Final Eurozone Inflation and U.S. Industrial Production (16.04.2026)

Economic reports

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