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Economic calendar: European inflation and US ISM data in the spotlight

7:43 AM 1 October 2021

  • Stocks in Europe set to open lower

  • US ISM manufacturing index for September, CPI data from euro area

  • Revision of PMI data for September

Futures markets point to a lower opening of today's European cash session with major indices from the region set to launch today's trading over 1% below yesterday's closing prices. Risk-off moods in the markets remain with safe haven currencies like USD, JPY and CHF gaining on the FX market. Commodity currencies are lagging while commodities themselves drop pressures by USD strengthening.

There are 2 major data releases to watch scheduled for the day ahead. Investors will be offered flash European CPI reading at 10:00 am BST. Partial data from member countries pointed to a faster than expected price growth and today's reading is also likely to beat the expected 3.3% YoY. Another major reading will be released at 3:00 pm BST - ISM manufacturing index for September. Market expects a slight deterioration.

8:00 am BST - Poland, manufacturing PMI for September. Expected: 54.8. Previous: 56.0

8:15 am BST - Spain, manufacturing PMI for September. Expected: 58.2. Previous: 59.5

8:45 am BST - Italy, manufacturing PMI for September. Expected: 59.4. Previous: 60.9

8:50 am BST - France, manufacturing PMI for September (final). First release: 55.2

8:55 am BST - Germany, manufacturing PMI for September (final). First release: 58.5

9:00 am BST - Euro area, manufacturing PMI for September (final). First release: 58.7

9:00 am BST - Poland, CPI inflation for September. Expected: 5.5% YoY. Previous: 5.5% YoY

9:30 am BST - UK, manufacturing PMI for September (final). First release: 56.3

10:00 am BST - Euro area, CPI inflation for September. Expected: 3.3% YoY. Previous: 3.0% YoY

1:30 pm BST - US, monthly data for August.

  • PCE core. Expected: 3.6% YoY. Previous: 3.6% YoY

  • Personal spending. Expected: 0.6% MoM. Previous: 0.3% MoM

  • Personal income. Expected: 0.3% MoM. Previous: 1.1% MoM

2:45 pm BST - US, manufacturing PMI for September (first release). Expected: 60.5

3:00 pm BST - US, manufacturing ISM for September. Expected: 59.5. Previous: 59.9

Central bankers' speeches

  • 4:00 pm BST - Fed Harker

  • 6:00 pm BST - Fed Mester

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