- A calm beggining of the session in the Europe
- FED decision dominates today's calendar
- US PPI inflation
Today's calendar is clearly dominated by the decision on interest rates in the US, which will be announced at 7:00 pm BST. Currently, the markets have reached a consensus and price in a 91% chance of maintaining interest rates at the current level within the range of 5.00-5.25%. However, despite the expected pause, the Fed is unlikely to signal an end to rate hikes and will leave the door open for their continuation in future meetings.
In addition to the Fed decision, investors will also learn about PPI inflation in May, which is expected to decline to 1.5% from 2.3% the previous month, and PPI core to 2.9% from 3.2%. However, these data will not be as important after yesterday's CPI inflation publication.
Detailed schedule for the day:
7:30 am BST, Hungary - Industrial Production:
- NSA: Expected: -8.3% YoY, Previous: -4.1% YoY
10:00 am BST, EU - Industrial Production:
- Expected: 1.0% MoM, Previous: -4.1% MoM
10:00 am BST, EU - Retail Sales:
- Expected: 0.9% YoY, Previous: -1.4% YoY
1:30 pm BST, USA - PPI Inflation:
- PPI: Expected: 1.5% YoY, Previous: 2.3% YoY
- PPI core: Expected: 2.9% YoY, Previous: 3.2% YoY
7:00 pm BST, USA - FED Interest Rate Decision:
- Expectation: 5.0-5.25%, Previous: 5.0%-5.25%
7:30 pm BST, USA - FED Press Conference
FX Weekly: Yen Returns to Losses, Dollar Under Pressure (10.08.2026)
Economic Calendar: Markets Awaken After a Weekend of Geopolitical Deadlock🚢
Morning Wrap: No Breakthrough in the Strait of Hormuz; Investors React to Berkshire Hathaway's Earnings
NFP much below expectations! 🚨EURUSD spikes 📈