- Flash CPI in Germany is the highlight of the European session
- ISM services, claims in the US are the figures of the day
- Market focus on policy tightening after hawkish FOMC minutes yesterday
Today’s calendar is a bit of a breather between yesterday’s ADP and FOMC minutes and tomorrow’s NFP. However, traders will waste no time in debating the impact of suddenly oh-so hawkish Fed on the markets. Because the pace of expected tightening seems to be taking markets by surprise the focus can be on weekly claims – the data’s been the strongest in more than 50 years!
9:30 am (GMT) – UK – final December services PMI (consensus 53.2 points)
10:00 am – EMU – November PPI (consensus 23%)
12:30 am – US – December Challenger report (planned job cuts)
1:00 pm – Germany – December CPI (consensus 5.1% y/y)
1:30 pm – US – November trade balance (consensus -$69.9 bilion), initial claims (consensus 200k)
3:00 pm – US – December ISM services (consensus 66.9 points), November durable orders (consensus +2.5% m/m)
Figure of the Day: What is next for July’s strongest currency? (15.07.2026)
Economic Calendar: Wednesday brings big Q2 earnings and PPI inflation (15.07.2026)
Morning Wrap: What’s next with the Strait of Hormuz, inflation and US interest rates? (15.07.2026)
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Q&A from Congress Testimony: Inflation stability is a key