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7:39 PM · 1 May 2024

Fed conference - "No hike" comments support US100

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The economy has made considerable progress toward dual goals. Inflation has eased substantially but remains too high
Inflation is still too high and further progress is not assured.
The Fed is highly attentive to inflation risks
We do not expect it will be appropriate to cut rates until we have greater confidence inflation is going back to 2%.
It is likely that gaining greater confidence will take longer than previously expected.
So far this year inflation readings have not given us that greater confidence.
Slowing the pace of QT does not mean our balance sheet will shrink less than it would otherwise.
The decision to slow runoff will reduce possibility of money market stress.
We believe over time policy is sufficiently restrictive to bring inflation back down to 2%. It is unlikely next policy move will be a hike.

US100 is strongly rebounding after comments that hikes are rather not possible.

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