Canadian CPI data for March was released at 1:30 pm BST today. Report was expected to show headline measure accelerating slightly from 2.8% to 2.9% YoY. On a monthly basis, market expected 0.7% MoM increase, following a 0.3% MoM increase in February.
Actual data turned out to be slightly dovish. While annual headline CPI accelerated in-line with expectations, the monthly print turned out to be slightly lower than expected. Annual core inflation measures also showed unexpected slowdown.
Canada, CPI data for March
- Headline (annual): 2.9% YoY vs 2.9% YoY expected (2.8% YoY previously)
- Headline (monthly): 0.6% vs 0.7% MoM expected (0.3% MoM previously)
- Core CPI (annual): 2.0% YoY vs 2.1% YoY previously
- Core CPI (monthly): 0.5% vs 0.1% MoM previously
Canadian dollar took a hit following the release. EURCAD surged over 0.3% following the release. Taking a look at the chart at 30-minute interval, we can seen that the pair jumped above 200-period moving average (purple line) and climbed to the highest level in a week.
Source: xStation5

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