Daily summary: US500 gains over 1.00% and Bitcoin tests $68,000 USD

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  • Thursday's session was favorable for Wall Street investors. U.S. indices gained over 1.00% and are approaching historical highs again.

  • The US100 is trading over 1.70% higher around 18350 points, and the US500 gains 1.10% to 5170 points.

  • ECB interest rates remained unchanged, as expected by investors. The deposit rate remains at 4%.

  • The latest ECB forecasts indicate lower inflation in 2024 and 2025:

    • Inflation at 2.3% in 2024, 2.0% in 2025, and 1.9% in 2026.
    • Core inflation at 2.6% in 2024, 2.1% in 2025, and 2.0% in 2026.
    • GDP growth revision for 2024 to 0.6%, with 1.5% growth in 2025 and 1.6% in 2026.
  • Following the ECB conference, market expectations increased for interest rate cuts to 100 basis points in 2024.

  • Jobless Claims show a still strong labor market, but labor costs indicate less wage pressure. Productivity remains high. A very large trade deficit for January:

    • Initial jobless claims: 217,000 (forecast 216,000; previously 215,000).
    • Labor costs: 0.4% (expected: 0.7%; previously: 0.5%) - final reading for Q4.
  • The USDJPY pair drops to the 148.00 area - the lowest level in a month.

  • The decline in gas inventories roughly meets expectations at -40 bcf, with a forecast of -37 bcf. Previously it was 96 bcf. Weather in the USA remains very favorable, and in the early days of March, gas consumption was lower than supply.

  • Cryptocurrencies record another good day, with Bitcoin again testing resistance around $68,000 USD.

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