BREAKING: EURUSD drops below 1.08 after hot CPI reading

٤:٣٤ م ١٠ أبريل ٢٠٢٤

US CPI inflation report for March was released today at 1:30 pm BST. Report was expected to show an acceleration in headline measure as well as a slowdown in core CPI. Also, monthly inflation increase were expected to moderate after two months of 0.4% readings.

Actual report turned out to be a hawkish surprise. This is another hawkish surprise in a row, after data for January and February also surprised to the upside. Annual core CPI inflation unexpectedly stayed unchanged compared to a month ago, while headline inflation accelerated more than expected.

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The reading was hawkish all across the board and is unlikely to give Fed more confidence to cut rates. Having said that a hawkish reaction in the markets should not come as a surprise - USD gains while gold and equity indices slumped.

US, CPI inflation for March

  • Headline (annual): 3.5% YoY vs 3.4% YoY expected (3.2% YoY previously)
  • Headline (monthly): 0.4% MoM vs 0.3% MoM expected (0.4% MoM previously)
  • Core (annual): 3.8% YoY vs 3.7% YoY expected (3.8% YoY previously)
  • Core (monthly): 0.4% MoM vs 0.3% MoM expected (0.4% MoM previously)

USD jumped following another hawkish surprise in US CPI data. EURUSD slumped below 1.08 mark following the release. Source: xStation5

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