ðŸ’ĩDovish Fed's Goolsbee remarks confirm aggressive Fed's policy easing cycle

17:16 24 āļāļąāļ™āļĒāļēāļĒāļ™ 2024

Austen Goolsbee, chair of the US Chicago Federal Reserve, was very dovish yesterday, confirming Powell's stance from the last meeting. Here are Goolsbee remarks: 

  • If conditions continue like this, there are a lot of cuts to come over the next 12 months; rates need to come down significantly.
  • We are shifting back to a normal dual mandate mode. The cut of 50 bps to start makes sense.
  • Consumer sentiment is not a good indicator of spending behavior. It's a little bit of a cautionary period.
  • GDP growth, consumer spending, and wage growth have been strong.
  • The rise in delinquencies is also a warning sign.
  • Directionally, unemployment is rising, but the level is still low.
  • 0.7% increase in unemployment over a year is usually a warning sign of recession.
  • Overall, the economy has some warning signs, and some strength.
  • Labor market deterioration typically happens quickly.
  • The jobless rate is at levels many consider as full employment.
  • Keeping rates at decade-high does not make sense when you want things to stay where they are.
  • I am comfortable with the Fed's 50 bps rate cut, it shows the Fed is focused on risks to employment, not just inflation.

Despite dovish signals from the Fed, EURUSD drops amid weaker than expected macro readings from European economies. Today, German Ifo sentiments came in again weaker than expected; both current conditions and business conditions came in lower than expected.

āđ€āļĢāļīāđˆāļĄāđ€āļ—āļĢāļ”āļ—āļąāļ™āļ—āļĩāļ§āļąāļ™āļ™āļĩāđ‰ āļŦāļĢāļ·āļ­ āļĨāļ­āļ‡āđƒāļŠāđ‰āļšāļąāļāļŠāļĩāļ—āļ”āļĨāļ­āļ‡āđāļšāļšāđ„āļĢāđ‰āļ„āļ§āļēāļĄāđ€āļŠāļĩāđˆāļĒāļ‡

āđ€āļ›āļīāļ”āļšāļąāļāļŠāļĩ āļĨāļ­āļ‡āļšāļąāļāļŠāļĩāđ€āļ”āđ‚āļĄāđˆ āļ”āļēāļ§āļ™āđŒāđ‚āļŦāļĨāļ”āđāļ­āļ›āļĄāļ·āļ­āļ–āļ·āļ­ āļ”āļēāļ§āļ™āđŒāđ‚āļŦāļĨāļ”āđāļ­āļ›āļĄāļ·āļ­āļ–āļ·āļ­

Source: xStation5

āļŦāļļāđ‰āļ™:
āļāļĨāļąāļšāđ„āļ›

āļ‚āđˆāļēāļ§āđƒāļ™āļ•āļĨāļēāļ”āļāļēāļĢāđ€āļ‡āļīāļ™

31.07.2025
16:07

āđ€āļ‡āļīāļ™āđ€āļĒāļ™āļ­āđˆāļ­āļ™āļ„āđˆāļēāļŦāļĨāļąāļ‡āļāļēāļĢāđāļ–āļĨāļ‡āļ‚āļ­āļ‡āļ­āļļāđ€āļ­āļ”āļ° â€“ BOJ āļĢāļ­āļ”āļđāļ‚āđ‰āļ­āļĄāļđāļĨāđ€āļžāļīāđˆāļĄāđ€āļ•āļīāļĄāļāđˆāļ­āļ™āļ‚āļĒāļąāļšāļ™āđ‚āļĒāļšāļēāļĒ

āļ˜āļ™āļēāļ„āļēāļĢāļāļĨāļēāļ‡āļāļĩāđˆāļ›āļļāđˆāļ™ (BOJ) āļ„āļ‡āļ”āļ­āļāđ€āļšāļĩāđ‰āļĒāļ™āđ‚āļĒāļšāļēāļĒāđ„āļ§āđ‰āļ—āļĩāđˆ 0.5% āļ•āļēāļĄāļ„āļēāļ” āļžāļĢāđ‰āļ­āļĄāļ›āļĢāļąāļšāđ€āļžāļīāđˆāļĄāļ„āļēāļ”āļāļēāļĢāļ“āđŒāđ€āļ‡āļīāļ™āđ€āļŸāđ‰āļ­āļ­āļĒāđˆāļēāļ‡āļŠāļąāļ”āđ€āļˆāļ™ āđƒāļ™āļĢāļēāļĒāļ‡āļēāļ™āđāļ™āļ§āđ‚āļ™āđ‰āļĄāđ€āļĻāļĢāļĐāļāļāļīāļˆāđ€āļ”āļ·āļ­āļ™āļāļĢāļāļŽāļēāļ„āļĄ BOJ āļ„āļēāļ”āļ§āđˆāļēāđ€āļ‡āļīāļ™āđ€āļŸāđ‰āļ­āļžāļ·āđ‰āļ™āļāļēāļ™...

13:47

āļ›āļāļīāļ—āļīāļ™āđ€āļĻāļĢāļĐāļāļāļīāļˆ: āļ­āļąāļ•āļĢāļēāđ€āļ‡āļīāļ™āđ€āļŸāđ‰āļ­ PCE āđāļĨāļ°āļˆāļģāļ™āļ§āļ™āļœāļđāđ‰āļ‚āļ­āļĢāļąāļšāļŠāļ§āļąāļŠāļ”āļīāļāļēāļĢāļ§āđˆāļēāļ‡āļ‡āļēāļ™āļ‚āļ­āļ‡āļŠāļŦāļĢāļąāļāļŊ

āļ›āļāļīāļ—āļīāļ™āđ€āļĻāļĢāļĐāļāļāļīāļˆāļ§āļąāļ™āļ™āļĩāđ‰āđ€āļ™āđ‰āļ™āđ„āļ›āļ—āļĩāđˆāļ‚āđ‰āļ­āļĄāļđāļĨāļŠāļģāļ„āļąāļāļˆāļēāļāļŠāļŦāļĢāļąāļāļŊ āđ„āļ”āđ‰āđāļāđˆ āļ•āļąāļ§āđ€āļĨāļ‚āđ€āļ‡āļīāļ™āđ€āļŸāđ‰āļ­ PCE āđāļĨāļ°āļˆāļģāļ™āļ§āļ™āļœāļđāđ‰āļ‚āļ­āļĢāļąāļšāļŠāļ§āļąāļŠāļ”āļīāļāļēāļĢāļ§āđˆāļēāļ‡āļ‡āļēāļ™ āđāļĄāđ‰āļˆāļ°āđ„āļĄāđˆāđāļ™āđˆāļ™āđ€āļŦāļĄāļ·āļ­āļ™āđ€āļĄāļ·āđˆāļ­āļ§āļēāļ™āļŦāļĢāļ·āļ­āļžāļĢāļļāđˆāļ‡āļ™āļĩāđ‰...

13:44

āļŠāļĢāļļāļ›āļ‚āđˆāļēāļ§āđ€āļŠāđ‰āļē

āļ•āļĨāļēāļ”āļŦāļļāđ‰āļ™āļŠāļŦāļĢāļąāļāļŸāļ·āđ‰āļ™āļ•āļąāļ§āđ€āļ•āđ‡āļĄāļ—āļĩāđˆ – āļœāļĨāļ›āļĢāļ°āļāļ­āļšāļāļēāļĢāđ€āļ—āļ„āđ‚āļ™āđ‚āļĨāļĒāļĩāļŦāļ™āļļāļ™āļ”āļąāļŠāļ™āļĩāļ—āļģāļˆāļļāļ”āļŠāļđāļ‡āļŠāļļāļ”āđƒāļŦāļĄāđˆ / BOJ āļ„āļ‡āļ”āļ­āļāđ€āļšāļĩāđ‰āļĒāđāļ•āđˆāļ›āļĢāļąāļšāļ„āļēāļ”āļāļēāļĢāļ“āđŒāđ€āļ‡āļīāļ™āđ€āļŸāđ‰āļ­ / āļāļēāļĢāļ„āđ‰āļēāļ—āļĢāļąāļĄāļ›āđŒ-āđ€āļāļēāļŦāļĨāļĩāđƒāļ•āđ‰āđ€āļ”āđˆāļ™āļŠāļąāļ” āļ•āļĨāļēāļ”āļŦāļļāđ‰āļ™āļŠāļŦāļĢāļąāļ: āļ”āļąāļŠāļ™āļĩ...

āđ€āļ‚āđ‰āļēāļŠāļđāđˆāļ•āļĨāļēāļ”āļžāļĢāđ‰āļ­āļĄāļĨāļđāļāļ„āđ‰āļēāļ‚āļ­āļ‡ XTB Group āļāļ§āđˆāļē 1 600 000 āļĢāļēāļĒ

āļœāļĨāļīāļ•āļ āļąāļ“āļ‘āđŒāļ—āļēāļ‡āļāļēāļĢāđ€āļ‡āļīāļ™āļ—āļĩāđˆāđ€āļĢāļēāđƒāļŦāđ‰āļšāļĢāļīāļāļēāļĢāļĄāļĩāļ„āļ§āļēāļĄāđ€āļŠāļĩāđˆāļĒāļ‡ āđ€āļĻāļĐāļŦāļļāđ‰āļ™ (Fractional Shares) āđ€āļ›āđ‡āļ™āļœāļĨāļīāļ•āļ āļąāļ“āļ‘āđŒāļ—āļĩāđˆāđƒāļŦāđ‰āļšāļĢāļīāļāļēāļĢāļˆāļēāļ XTB āđāļŠāļ”āļ‡āļ–āļķāļ‡āļāļēāļĢāđ€āļ›āđ‡āļ™āđ€āļˆāđ‰āļēāļ‚āļ­āļ‡āļŦāļļāđ‰āļ™āļšāļēāļ‡āļŠāđˆāļ§āļ™āļŦāļĢāļ·āļ­ ETF āđ€āļĻāļĐāļŦāļļāđ‰āļ™āđ„āļĄāđˆāđƒāļŠāđˆāļœāļĨāļīāļ•āļ āļąāļ“āļ‘āđŒāļ—āļēāļ‡āļāļēāļĢāđ€āļ‡āļīāļ™āļ­āļīāļŠāļĢāļ° āļŠāļīāļ—āļ˜āļīāļ‚āļ­āļ‡āļœāļđāđ‰āļ–āļ·āļ­āļŦāļļāđ‰āļ™āļ­āļēāļˆāļ–āļđāļāļˆāļģāļāļąāļ”
āļ„āļ§āļēāļĄāļŠāļđāļāđ€āļŠāļĩāļĒāļŠāļēāļĄāļēāļĢāļ–āđ€āļāļīāļ™āļāļ§āđˆāļēāđ€āļ‡āļīāļ™āļ—āļĩāđˆāļāļēāļ