17:16 · 24 āļāļąāļ™āļĒāļēāļĒāļ™ 2024

ðŸ’ĩDovish Fed's Goolsbee remarks confirm aggressive Fed's policy easing cycle

Austen Goolsbee, chair of the US Chicago Federal Reserve, was very dovish yesterday, confirming Powell's stance from the last meeting. Here are Goolsbee remarks: 

  • If conditions continue like this, there are a lot of cuts to come over the next 12 months; rates need to come down significantly.
  • We are shifting back to a normal dual mandate mode. The cut of 50 bps to start makes sense.
  • Consumer sentiment is not a good indicator of spending behavior. It's a little bit of a cautionary period.
  • GDP growth, consumer spending, and wage growth have been strong.
  • The rise in delinquencies is also a warning sign.
  • Directionally, unemployment is rising, but the level is still low.
  • 0.7% increase in unemployment over a year is usually a warning sign of recession.
  • Overall, the economy has some warning signs, and some strength.
  • Labor market deterioration typically happens quickly.
  • The jobless rate is at levels many consider as full employment.
  • Keeping rates at decade-high does not make sense when you want things to stay where they are.
  • I am comfortable with the Fed's 50 bps rate cut, it shows the Fed is focused on risks to employment, not just inflation.

Despite dovish signals from the Fed, EURUSD drops amid weaker than expected macro readings from European economies. Today, German Ifo sentiments came in again weaker than expected; both current conditions and business conditions came in lower than expected.

Source: xStation5

āđ€āļ›āļīāļ”āļšāļąāļāļŠāļĩāļŸāļĢāļĩ

āđ€āļ›āļīāļ”āļšāļąāļāļŠāļĩāļ‚āļ­āļ‡āļ„āļļāļ“āđ„āļ”āđ‰āļ­āļĒāđˆāļēāļ‡āļĢāļ§āļ”āđ€āļĢāđ‡āļ§āđ‚āļ”āļĒāđ„āļĄāđˆāļ•āđ‰āļ­āļ‡āļœāđˆāļēāļ™āļ‚āļąāđ‰āļ™āļ•āļ­āļ™āļĒāļļāđˆāļ‡āļĒāļēāļ āļāļēāļĢāļāļēāļāđāļĨāļ°āļ–āļ­āļ™āđ€āļ‡āļīāļ™āđ‚āļ”āļĒāđ„āļĄāđˆāļĄāļĩāļ„āđˆāļēāļ˜āļĢāļĢāļĄāđ€āļ™āļĩāļĒāļĄ

āđ€āļ›āļīāļ”āļšāļąāļāļŠāļĩ  āļ”āļēāļ§āļ™āđŒāđ‚āļŦāļĨāļ”āđāļ­āļ› 
21 āļŠāļīāļ‡āļŦāļēāļ„āļĄ 2026, 21:52

ðŸ”Ĩ BREAKING: US Services PMI āđāļ‚āđ‡āļ‡āđāļāļĢāđˆāļ‡āļāļ§āđˆāļēāļ„āļēāļ”! EURUSD āļĒāļąāļ‡āļ—āļĢāļ‡āļ•āļąāļ§ â†”ïļ

21 āļŠāļīāļ‡āļŦāļēāļ„āļĄ 2026, 20:42

⚩ Silver āļ—āļ”āļŠāļ­āļš $70 āļžāļĢāđ‰āļ­āļĄāļ—āļ°āļĨāļļāđāļ™āļ§āļ•āđ‰āļēāļ™āļŠāļģāļ„āļąāļ

21 āļŠāļīāļ‡āļŦāļēāļ„āļĄ 2026, 15:09

BREAKING: PMI āļĒāļļāđ‚āļĢāļ›āļ­āļ­āļāļĄāļēāļ”āļĩāļāļ§āđˆāļēāļ„āļēāļ” ðŸ”ž EUR/USD āļˆāđˆāļ­āļ—āļ”āļŠāļ­āļšāļĢāļ°āļ”āļąāļš 1.17

21 āļŠāļīāļ‡āļŦāļēāļ„āļĄ 2026, 13:23

āļ›āļāļīāļ—āļīāļ™āđ€āļĻāļĢāļĐāļāļāļīāļˆ: PMI āļŦāļĨāļēāļĒāļ›āļĢāļ°āđ€āļ—āļĻāļˆāļ°āļ”āļķāļ‡āļ„āļ§āļēāļĄāļŠāļ™āđƒāļˆāļ­āļ­āļāļˆāļēāļāļ•āļĨāļēāļ”āļžāļąāļ™āļ˜āļšāļąāļ•āļĢāļŦāļĢāļ·āļ­āđ„āļĄāđˆ?

āļœāļĨāļīāļ•āļ āļąāļ“āļ‘āđŒāļ—āļēāļ‡āļāļēāļĢāđ€āļ‡āļīāļ™āļ—āļĩāđˆāđ€āļĢāļēāđƒāļŦāđ‰āļšāļĢāļīāļāļēāļĢāļĄāļĩāļ„āļ§āļēāļĄāđ€āļŠāļĩāđˆāļĒāļ‡ āđ€āļĻāļĐāļŦāļļāđ‰āļ™ (Fractional Shares) āđ€āļ›āđ‡āļ™āļœāļĨāļīāļ•āļ āļąāļ“āļ‘āđŒāļ—āļĩāđˆāđƒāļŦāđ‰āļšāļĢāļīāļāļēāļĢāļˆāļēāļ XTB āđāļŠāļ”āļ‡āļ–āļķāļ‡āļāļēāļĢāđ€āļ›āđ‡āļ™āđ€āļˆāđ‰āļēāļ‚āļ­āļ‡āļŦāļļāđ‰āļ™āļšāļēāļ‡āļŠāđˆāļ§āļ™āļŦāļĢāļ·āļ­ ETF āđ€āļĻāļĐāļŦāļļāđ‰āļ™āđ„āļĄāđˆāđƒāļŠāđˆāļœāļĨāļīāļ•āļ āļąāļ“āļ‘āđŒāļ—āļēāļ‡āļāļēāļĢāđ€āļ‡āļīāļ™āļ­āļīāļŠāļĢāļ° āļŠāļīāļ—āļ˜āļīāļ‚āļ­āļ‡āļœāļđāđ‰āļ–āļ·āļ­āļŦāļļāđ‰āļ™āļ­āļēāļˆāļ–āļđāļāļˆāļģāļāļąāļ”
āļ„āļ§āļēāļĄāļŠāļđāļāđ€āļŠāļĩāļĒāļŠāļēāļĄāļēāļĢāļ–āđ€āļāļīāļ™āļāļ§āđˆāļēāđ€āļ‡āļīāļ™āļ—āļĩāđˆāļāļēāļ