🔴Silver drops over 2%

USD strengthening and ETF outflows pressure silver prices

Silver is trading over 2% lower today, with the move being driven by significant strengthening of the US dollar triggered by better-than-expected US housing market data for May. Solid data makes the market think that another rate hike may be looming in July, given recent hawkishness of the Federal Reserve.

Apart from the strong US dollar and high US yields, we are also observing ETFs selling out their gold holdings. Silver ETFs sold more than 650 thousand ounces of silver yesterday while gold ETFs sold almost 30 thousand gold ounces, what was the fifteenth consecutive day of ETF sales. ETF sold almost 1% of their total silver holdings since the beginning of the year. 

From a technical point of view, we can see that silver price has been pulling back since June 9, 2023 when price tested 50% retracement and 50-session moving average. Local lows from June 5 and June 15, which can be found slightly below 23.6% retracement, are being tested today. Next important supports in-line can be found in the $22.60 area, or local lows from May 25, 2023, as well as in $22.20 area, marked with 200-session moving average. Divergence with EURUSD points to silver being excessively oversold but it should be said that silver tends to be an underperformer at times precious metals struggle.

Source: xStation5