00:04 · 2 āļĄāļĩāļ™āļēāļ„āļĄ 2024

Goolsbee speculated that January's CPI was an anomaly; see other comments from Fed bankers 🔎

Fed's Waller, Logan, and Goolsbee presented perspectives that collectively leaned towards a cautious approach to monetary policy adjustments, indicating a generally dovish stance. Overall, the bankers' remarks reflected a preference for a careful, measured approach to monetary policy, aligning more with dovish sentiments. Below are the highlights from each of the speeches:

Waller:

  • Emphasized that the pace of balance sheet reductions will be independent of policy rate changes.
  • Noted that the current overnight repo usage of around $500 billion indicates that the Fed can continue reducing its holdings for some time.
  • Expressed a preference for the Fed's Treasury holdings to shift towards a larger share of shorter-dated securities.

Logan:

  • Advised that moving more slowly in the current environment could reduce the risk of a premature stop in monetary policy adjustments.
  • Hasn't observed a reduction in reserves yet under the current Fed Quantitative Tightening (QT).
  • Pointed out that after draining the Overnight Reverse Repo (ON RRP), QT will reduce reserves on a one-for-one basis.

Goolsbee:

  • Stated uncertainty about where interest rates will settle.
  • Noted that if inflation continues to fall, the Fed should consider the impact on employment.
  • Believes the current Fed funds rate is quite restrictive.
  • Emphasized the need to monitor housing inflation.
  • Speculated that January's inflation might have been an anomaly.
  • Commented on the unusual nature of housing inflation.

 

The US dollar index halted its rise at the 61.8% Fibonacci, retracement of its most recent downward move. Today, the USDIDX is losing almost 0.20%. The declines accelerated after the publication of the ISM data, which were significantly worse than expected and revived speculations about faster interest rate cuts.

Source: xStation 5

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